Match Analysis

GibraltarvsMalta

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
50%
33%
Gibraltar winDrawMalta win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
0.52Avg goals scored1.30
0.52Avg goals conceded0.64
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Gibraltar xG

Expected goals

0.5

Malta xG

10%

Both Teams to Score

5%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

45%

0–1

22%

1–0

13%

1–1

7%

0–2

6%

1–2

2%

Home

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

WDDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gibraltar vs Malta?

Malta is favored with a 33% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gibraltar's current form?

Gibraltar have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (45% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 10%. Over 2.5 goals: 5%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gibraltar Win17%
Draw50%
Malta Win33%
BTTS10%
Over 2.55%