Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Germany xG
Expected goals
0.3
Serbia xG
20%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
26%
0–0
18%
2–0
18%
1–1
8%
3–0
8%
0–1
5%
Home
Germany
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Serbia
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Germany vs Serbia?
Germany is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Germany's current form?
Germany have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (26% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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