Germanyvs
Netherlands
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Germany xG
Expected goals
0.7
Netherlands xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
1–0
18%
0–1
14%
1–1
13%
2–0
8%
2–1
6%
Home
Germany
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Netherlands
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Germany vs Netherlands?
Germany is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Germany's current form?
Germany have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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