Match Analysis

GermanyvsGreece

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
47%
25%
Germany winDrawGreece win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.75Avg goals scored1.22
0.47Avg goals conceded0.75
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Germany xG

Expected goals

0.5

Greece xG

15%

Both Teams to Score

8%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

37%

0–1

18%

1–0

18%

1–1

9%

0–2

5%

2–0

5%

Home

Germany

Germany

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Germany vs Greece?

Germany is favored with a 28% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Germany's current form?

Germany have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (37% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 8%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Germany Win28%
Draw47%
Greece Win25%
BTTS15%
Over 2.58%