Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
France xG
Expected goals
0.6
Belgium xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
15%
1–0
13%
3–0
11%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
0–0
6%
Home
France
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Belgium
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win France vs Belgium?
France is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is France's current form?
France have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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