Match Analysis

FinlandvsBelarus

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
36%
22%
Finland winDrawBelarus win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
2.11Avg goals scored1.30
0.53Avg goals conceded0.46
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Finland xG

Expected goals

0.6

Belarus xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

22%

1–0

20%

0–1

13%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

5%

Home

Finland

Finland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Belarus

Belarus

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Finland vs Belarus?

Finland is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Finland's current form?

Finland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Finland Win42%
Draw36%
Belarus Win22%
BTTS27%
Over 2.519%