Estoniavs
Luxembourg
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Estonia xG
Expected goals
0.3
Luxembourg xG
14%
Both Teams to Score
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
33%
1–0
27%
2–0
11%
0–1
10%
1–1
8%
2–1
3%
Home
Estonia
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 0.2
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Luxembourg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Estonia vs Luxembourg?
Estonia is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Estonia's current form?
Estonia have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (33% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 14%. Over 2.5 goals: 10%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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