Match Analysis

EstoniavsIceland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
59%
21%
Estonia winDrawIceland win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
0.49Avg goals scored1.73
0.23Avg goals conceded0.23
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Estonia xG

Expected goals

0.3

Iceland xG

7%

Both Teams to Score

2%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

55%

0–1

16%

1–0

16%

1–1

5%

0–2

2%

2–0

2%

Home

Estonia

Estonia

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Iceland

Iceland

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Estonia vs Iceland?

Iceland is favored with a 21% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Estonia's current form?

Estonia have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (55% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 7%. Over 2.5 goals: 2%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Estonia Win20%
Draw59%
Iceland Win21%
BTTS7%
Over 2.52%