Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
England xG
Expected goals
1.7
Spain xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
5–1
5%
Home
England
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Spain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win England vs Spain?
England is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is England's current form?
England have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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