Match Analysis

DenmarkvsWales

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
20%
12%
Denmark winDrawWales win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.73Avg goals scored0.52
1.72Avg goals conceded1.24
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Denmark xG

Expected goals

0.7

Wales xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

13%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

0–0

7%

Home

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Wales

Wales

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Denmark vs Wales?

Denmark is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Denmark's current form?

Denmark have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Denmark Win68%
Draw20%
Wales Win12%
BTTS44%
Over 2.551%