Match Analysis

DenmarkvsPortugal

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
15%
68%
Denmark winDrawPortugal win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
1.73Avg goals scored2.29
1.72Avg goals conceded1.03
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Denmark xG

Expected goals

3.2

Portugal xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–2

6%

1–4

6%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

2–4

5%

Home

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Denmark vs Portugal?

Portugal is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Denmark's current form?

Denmark have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Denmark Win17%
Draw15%
Portugal Win68%
BTTS78%
Over 2.587%