Denmarkvs
Portugal
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Denmark xG
Expected goals
3.2
Portugal xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–2
6%
1–4
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
2–4
5%
Home
Denmark
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Portugal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Denmark vs Portugal?
Portugal is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Denmark's current form?
Denmark have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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