Match Analysis

DenmarkvsNorway

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
16%
23%
Denmark winDrawNorway win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.73Avg goals scored1.46
1.72Avg goals conceded2.00
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

Denmark xG

Expected goals

2

Norway xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

Home

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Norway

Norway

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Denmark vs Norway?

Denmark is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Denmark's current form?

Denmark have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Denmark Win61%
Draw16%
Norway Win23%
BTTS83%
Over 2.589%