Match Analysis

CzechiavsSpain

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
Czechia winDrawSpain win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.60
0.49Avg goals scored2.97
2.53Avg goals conceded1.23
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Czechia xG

Expected goals

4

Spain xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

11%

0–4

11%

0–5

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Spain

Spain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Czechia vs Spain?

Spain is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Czechia's current form?

Czechia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Czechia Win3%
Draw5%
Spain Win92%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%