Match Analysis

CzechiavsCroatia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
22%
46%
Czechia winDrawCroatia win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game0.80
0.49Avg goals scored0.97
2.53Avg goals conceded3.54
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Czechia xG

Expected goals

2

Croatia xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Croatia

Croatia

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Czechia vs Croatia?

Croatia is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Czechia's current form?

Czechia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Czechia Win32%
Draw22%
Croatia Win46%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%