Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Croatia xG
Expected goals
4
England xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
11%
0–4
11%
0–5
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
6%
1–4
6%
Home
Croatia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
England
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Croatia vs England?
England is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Croatia's current form?
Croatia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League