Bulgariavs
Luxembourg
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Bulgaria xG
Expected goals
0.5
Luxembourg xG
29%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
21%
0–0
17%
2–0
14%
1–1
11%
0–1
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Bulgaria
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Luxembourg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
Bulgaria is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bulgaria's current form?
Bulgaria have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League