Match Analysis

Bosnia-HerzegovinavsSweden

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
30%
36%
Bosnia-Herzegovina winDrawSweden win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.49Avg goals scored1.71
0.74Avg goals conceded0.73
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Bosnia-Herzegovina xG

Expected goals

1

Sweden xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

14%

0–1

14%

1–0

14%

1–1

14%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sweden

Sweden

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden?

Sweden is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bosnia-Herzegovina's current form?

Bosnia-Herzegovina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bosnia-Herzegovina Win34%
Draw30%
Sweden Win36%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%