Match Analysis

BelgiumvsTürkiye

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

92%
5%
3%
Belgium winDrawTürkiye win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.50Avg goals scored0.51
1.33Avg goals conceded2.78
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.9

Belgium xG

Expected goals

0.6

Türkiye xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

11%

4–0

11%

2–0

8%

5–0

8%

3–1

7%

4–1

6%

Home

Belgium

Belgium

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Türkiye

Türkiye

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Belgium vs Türkiye?

Belgium is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Belgium's current form?

Belgium have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Belgium Win92%
Draw5%
Türkiye Win3%
BTTS44%
Over 2.583%