Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Belarus xG
Expected goals
0.8
Finland xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
25%
0–1
20%
1–0
15%
1–1
12%
0–2
8%
1–2
5%
Home
Belarus
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Finland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Belarus vs Finland?
Finland is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Belarus's current form?
Belarus have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League