Match Analysis

BelarusvsFinland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
38%
35%
Belarus winDrawFinland win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.30Avg goals scored2.12
0.46Avg goals conceded0.53
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Belarus xG

Expected goals

0.8

Finland xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

20%

1–0

15%

1–1

12%

0–2

8%

1–2

5%

Home

Belarus

Belarus

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Finland

Finland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Belarus vs Finland?

Finland is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Belarus's current form?

Belarus have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Belarus Win27%
Draw38%
Finland Win35%
BTTS25%
Over 2.517%