Match Analysis

ArmeniavsMontenegro

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
24%
57%
Armenia winDrawMontenegro win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
0.94Avg goals scored1.70
1.24Avg goals conceded0.97
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Armenia xG

Expected goals

1.7

Montenegro xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Montenegro

Montenegro

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Armenia vs Montenegro?

Montenegro is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Armenia's current form?

Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Armenia Win19%
Draw24%
Montenegro Win57%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%