Match Analysis

ArmeniavsLatvia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
29%
14%
Armenia winDrawLatvia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
0.94Avg goals scored0.53
1.24Avg goals conceded1.52
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Armenia xG

Expected goals

0.5

Latvia xG

29%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

21%

0–0

17%

2–0

14%

1–1

11%

0–1

8%

2–1

7%

Home

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Armenia vs Latvia?

Armenia is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Armenia's current form?

Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Armenia Win57%
Draw29%
Latvia Win14%
BTTS29%
Over 2.527%