Match Analysis

AlbaniavsSan Marino

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

94%
3%
3%
Albania winDrawSan Marino win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
1.98Avg goals scored0.27
0.79Avg goals conceded3.90
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Albania xG

Expected goals

0.3

San Marino xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

4–0

14%

5–0

12%

2–0

11%

1–0

5%

3–1

4%

Home

Albania

Albania

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

San Marino

San Marino

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 3.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Albania vs San Marino?

Albania is favored with a 94% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Albania's current form?

Albania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Albania Win94%
Draw3%
San Marino Win3%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%