Match Analysis

UdinesevsAC Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
15%
74%
Udinese winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
1.41Avg goals scored1.78
2.20Avg goals conceded0.85
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Udinese xG

Expected goals

2.7

AC Milan xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Udinese Win11%
Draw15%
AC Milan Win74%
BTTS59%
Over 2.571%