Match Analysis

TorinovsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
20%
17%
Torino winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.24Avg goals scored0.98
1.41Avg goals conceded2.07
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Torino xG

Expected goals

1

Lecce xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Torino

Torino

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torino vs Lecce?

Torino is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Torino's current form?

Torino have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torino Win63%
Draw20%
Lecce Win17%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%