Match Analysis

SassuolovsLazio

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
13%
78%
Sassuolo winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.69Avg goals scored2.01
2.14Avg goals conceded0.73
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

3

Lazio xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

8%

0–3

8%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–4

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LDLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Lazio?

Lazio is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win9%
Draw13%
Lazio Win78%
BTTS60%
Over 2.576%