Match Analysis

ParmavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
28%
44%
Parma winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.68Avg goals scored1.01
1.81Avg goals conceded1.73
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.3

Genoa xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

1–0

10%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Genoa?

Genoa is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win28%
Draw28%
Genoa Win44%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%