โšก Match Analysis

Parma vs Cagliari

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
29%
45%
Parma winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.80Avg goals scored1.14
1.08Avg goals conceded1.30
2โ€“0โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Parma xG

Expected goals

1

Cagliari xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“0

14%

0โ€“1

14%

1โ€“0

14%

1โ€“1

14%

0โ€“2

7%

1โ€“2

7%

Home

Parma

Parma

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Parmaall timeCagliari
1D
3W
27 Feb 26
Parma1โ€“1Cagliari
13 Sep 25
Cagliari2โ€“0Parma
9 Feb 25
Cagliari2โ€“1Parma
30 Sep 24
Parma2โ€“3Cagliari

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Cagliari?

Cagliari is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Parma won 0, drew 1, and Cagliari won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Parma Win26%
Draw29%
Cagliari Win45%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%

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