Match Analysis

ParmavsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
30%
51%
Parma winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.60
0.68Avg goals scored0.99
1.81Avg goals conceded1.15
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.3

Bologna xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

19%

0–0

15%

0–2

13%

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Bologna?

Bologna is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win19%
Draw30%
Bologna Win51%
BTTS33%
Over 2.530%