Match Analysis

NapolivsLazio

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
28%
41%
Napoli winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.78Avg goals scored2.01
0.88Avg goals conceded0.73
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.2

Lazio xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

1–0

11%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Lazio?

Lazio is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win31%
Draw28%
Lazio Win41%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%