Napoli vs Bologna
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Napoli xG
Expected goals
0.8
Bologna xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
2–0
12%
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Napoli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Bologna
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs Bologna?
Napoli is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 2, and Bologna won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A