Match Analysis

MonzavsSassuolo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
18%
56%
Monza winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.47Avg goals scored1.61
2.46Avg goals conceded1.61
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Monza xG

Expected goals

2.8

Sassuolo xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–1

5%

2–1

5%

Home

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Sassuolo?

Sassuolo is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win26%
Draw18%
Sassuolo Win56%
BTTS80%
Over 2.585%