Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Monza xG
Expected goals
3.1
Napoli xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
8%
0–3
8%
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–4
6%
1–4
6%
Home
Monza
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Monza vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Monza's current form?
Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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