Match Analysis

MonzavsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
13%
77%
Monza winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.47Avg goals scored1.78
2.46Avg goals conceded0.88
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Monza xG

Expected goals

3.1

Napoli xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

8%

0–3

8%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–4

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Napoli?

Napoli is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win10%
Draw13%
Napoli Win77%
BTTS60%
Over 2.578%