Match Analysis

MonzavsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
19%
57%
Monza winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.47Avg goals scored1.46
2.46Avg goals conceded1.36
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Monza xG

Expected goals

2.5

Atalanta xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Atalanta?

Atalanta is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win24%
Draw19%
Atalanta Win57%
BTTS73%
Over 2.578%