Match Analysis

LeccevsJuventus

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
19%
70%
Lecce winDrawJuventus win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
0.98Avg goals scored1.48
2.07Avg goals conceded0.90
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Lecce xG

Expected goals

2.1

Juventus xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

13%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–3

7%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Juventus

Juventus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Juventus?

Juventus is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win11%
Draw19%
Juventus Win70%
BTTS44%
Over 2.553%