Match Analysis

LeccevsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
25%
40%
Lecce winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.98Avg goals scored1.01
2.07Avg goals conceded1.73
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.5

Genoa xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Genoa?

Genoa is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win35%
Draw25%
Genoa Win40%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%