โšก Match Analysis

Lazio vs Genoa

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
20%
17%
Lazio winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.40
1.29Avg goals scored0.51
1.48Avg goals conceded1.14
2โ€“0โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“2โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.6

Genoa xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

19%

0โ€“0

14%

2โ€“0

13%

1โ€“1

11%

0โ€“1

8%

2โ€“1

8%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Lazioall timeGenoa
5W
1W
30 Jan 26
Lazio3โ€“2Genoa
29 Sep 25
Genoa0โ€“3Lazio
23 Apr 25
Genoa0โ€“2Lazio
27 Oct 24
Lazio3โ€“0Genoa
19 Apr 24
Genoa0โ€“1Lazio
27 Aug 23
Lazio0โ€“1Genoa

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Genoa?

Lazio is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Lazio won 5, drew 0, and Genoa won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Lazio Win63%
Draw20%
Genoa Win17%
BTTS34%
Over 2.532%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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