Match Analysis

LaziovsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
37%
20%
Lazio winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.00
2.01Avg goals scored1.03
0.73Avg goals conceded0.55
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Lazio xG

Expected goals

0.5

Cagliari xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

1–0

22%

0–1

12%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

5%

Home

Lazio

Lazio

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lazio vs Cagliari?

Lazio is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lazio's current form?

Lazio have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lazio Win43%
Draw37%
Cagliari Win20%
BTTS23%
Over 2.517%