Match Analysis

JuventusvsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
31%
29%
Juventus winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.48Avg goals scored1.38
0.90Avg goals conceded0.91
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Juventus xG

Expected goals

0.9

Napoli xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

0–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

2–0

8%

2–1

7%

Home

Juventus

Juventus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Juventus vs Napoli?

Juventus is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Juventus's current form?

Juventus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Juventus Win40%
Draw31%
Napoli Win29%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%