Match Analysis

InternazionalevsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

86%
8%
6%
Internazionale winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
3.01Avg goals scored1.23
1.27Avg goals conceded2.18
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

1.1

Fiorentina xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

5–1

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

Internazionale is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win86%
Draw8%
Fiorentina Win6%
BTTS65%
Over 2.588%