Match Analysis

GenoavsAC Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
18%
71%
Genoa winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.01Avg goals scored1.78
1.73Avg goals conceded0.85
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Genoa xG

Expected goals

2.1

AC Milan xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

13%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–3

7%

Home

Genoa

Genoa

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WDWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Genoa vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Genoa's current form?

Genoa have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Genoa Win11%
Draw18%
AC Milan Win71%
BTTS44%
Over 2.553%