Match Analysis

FrosinonevsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
19%
13%
Frosinone winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.36Avg goals scored0.98
1.35Avg goals conceded2.07
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Frosinone xG

Expected goals

0.9

Lecce xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Frosinone vs Lecce?

Frosinone is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Frosinone's current form?

Frosinone have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Frosinone Win68%
Draw19%
Lecce Win13%
BTTS53%
Over 2.562%