Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Fiorentina xG
Expected goals
2.7
Napoli xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
0–3
9%
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–1
7%
1–1
7%
Home
Fiorentina
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fiorentina's current form?
Fiorentina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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