Match Analysis

FiorentinavsJuventus

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
18%
69%
Fiorentina winDrawJuventus win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.23Avg goals scored1.48
2.18Avg goals conceded0.90
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

2.2

Juventus xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

11%

0–1

10%

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

7%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Juventus

Juventus

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Juventus is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win13%
Draw18%
Juventus Win69%
BTTS53%
Over 2.560%