Match Analysis

FiorentinavsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
20%
57%
Fiorentina winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.24Avg goals scored1.46
2.18Avg goals conceded1.36
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Fiorentina xG

Expected goals

2.2

Atalanta xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Atalanta is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fiorentina's current form?

Fiorentina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fiorentina Win23%
Draw20%
Atalanta Win57%
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%