โšก Match Analysis

Cagliari vs Lecce

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
29%
34%
Cagliari winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.13Avg goals scored0.96
1.39Avg goals conceded1.11
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

1.1

Lecce xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

13%

1โ€“0

12%

0โ€“1

11%

0โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

8%

1โ€“2

7%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Cagliariall timeLecce
2W
2D
2W
16 Feb 26
Cagliari0โ€“2Lecce
19 Sep 25
Lecce1โ€“2Cagliari
19 Jan 25
Cagliari4โ€“1Lecce
31 Aug 24
Lecce1โ€“0Cagliari
5 May 24
Cagliari1โ€“1Lecce
6 Jan 24
Lecce1โ€“1Cagliari

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Lecce?

Cagliari is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Cagliari won 2, drew 2, and Lecce won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Cagliari Win37%
Draw29%
Lecce Win34%
BTTS47%
Over 2.540%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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