Match Analysis

CagliarivsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
32%
18%
Cagliari winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.03Avg goals scored1.36
0.56Avg goals conceded1.36
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Cagliari xG

Expected goals

0.5

Frosinone xG

26%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

22%

0–0

20%

2–0

12%

1–1

11%

0–1

10%

2–1

6%

Home

Cagliari

Cagliari

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cagliari vs Frosinone?

Cagliari is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cagliari's current form?

Cagliari have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cagliari Win50%
Draw32%
Frosinone Win18%
BTTS26%
Over 2.522%