โšก Match Analysis

Bologna vs Sassuolo

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
30%
22%
Bologna winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.39Avg goals scored1.16
1.38Avg goals conceded1.29
2โ€“2โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Bologna xG

Expected goals

1.4

Sassuolo xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“0

7%

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“0

7%

0โ€“1

6%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLWD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Bolognaall timeSassuolo
2W
2D
15 Mar 26
Sassuolo0โ€“1Bologna
28 Dec 25
Bologna1โ€“1Sassuolo
3 Feb 24
Bologna4โ€“2Sassuolo
28 Oct 23
Sassuolo1โ€“1Bologna

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs Sassuolo?

Bologna is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Bologna won 2, drew 2, and Sassuolo won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Bologna Win48%
Draw30%
Sassuolo Win22%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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