Match Analysis

BolognavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
22%
32%
Bologna winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored1.47
1.56Avg goals conceded2.46
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Bologna xG

Expected goals

1.6

Monza xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

3–1

6%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs Monza?

Bologna is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bologna Win46%
Draw22%
Monza Win32%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%