Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
0.6
Parma xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
15%
1–0
14%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Parma
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Parma?
Atalanta is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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