Match Analysis

AtalantavsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
18%
10%
Atalanta winDrawParma win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.46Avg goals scored0.68
1.36Avg goals conceded1.81
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

0.6

Parma xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

15%

1–0

14%

3–0

10%

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Parma?

Atalanta is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win72%
Draw18%
Parma Win10%
BTTS40%
Over 2.551%