Match Analysis

AS RomavsSassuolo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

80%
14%
6%
AS Roma winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.98Avg goals scored1.61
0.50Avg goals conceded1.61
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

0.6

Sassuolo xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

14%

3–0

12%

1–0

11%

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDDWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

AS Roma is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win80%
Draw14%
Sassuolo Win6%
BTTS41%
Over 2.560%